Metapopulation epidemic models with heterogeneous mixing and travel behaviour

Apolloni, A; Poletto, C; Ramasco, JJ; Jensen, P; Colizza, V
Theoretical Biology and Medical Modelling 11, 3 (1-31) (2014)

Determining the pandemic potential of an emerging infectious disease and how it
depends on the
various epidemic and population aspects is critical for the preparation of an
adequate response aimed
at its control. The complex interplay between population movements in space and
non-homogeneous
mixing patterns have so far hindered the fundamental understanding of the
conditions for spatial
invasion through a general theoretical framework. To address this issu
e, we present an analytical
modelling approach taking into account such interplay under general con
ditions of mobility and
interactions, in the simplifying assumption of two population classes.


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