The role of complexity for digital twins of cities

G. Caldarelli1,2,3,4, E. Arcaute5,6, M. Barthelemy7,8, M. Batty5,6, C. Gershenson9,10, D. Helbing11,12, S. Mancuso4,13, Y. Moreno12,14,15,16, J. J. Ramasco17, C. Rozenblat18, A. Sánchez14,19 and J. L. Fernández-Villacañas20
1DSMN University of Venice Ca’Foscari, Venice, Italy.
2ISC-CNR, Dipartimento di Fisica, Università Sapienza, Rome, Italy.
3London Institute for Mathematical Sciences, London, UK.
4Fondazione per il futuro delle città, Florence, Italy.
5CASA,The Bartlett Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis, UCL, London, UK.
6The Alan Turing Institute, The British Library, London, UK.
7Université Paris-Saclay, CNRS, CEA, Institut de Physique Théorique, Gif-sur-Yvette, France.
8Centre d’Analyse et de Mathématique Sociales CAMS, UMR 8557 CNRS-EHESS, Ecole des Hautes Etudes en Sciences Sociales, Paris, France.
9Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, México City, México.
10Santa Fe Institute, Santa Fe, NM, USA.
11ETH Zurich, Computational Social Science, Zurich, Switzerland.
12Complexity Science Hub, Vienna, Austria.
13Department of Agriculture, Food, Environment and Forestry (DAGRI), Florence, Italy.
14Institute for Biocomputation and Physics of Complex Systems (BIFI), University of Zaragoza, Zaragoza, Spain.
15Department of Theoretical Physics, Faculty of Sciences, University of Zaragoza, Zaragoza, Spain.
16CENTAI Institute, Turin, Italy.
17Instituto de Física Interdisciplinar y Sistemas Complejos IFISC (CSIC-UIB), Palma de Mallorca, Spain.
18Institute of Geography and Sustainability, UNIL, Lausanne, Switzerland.
19Grupo Interdisciplinar de Sistemas Complejos (GISC), Departamento de Matematicas, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, Getafe, Spain.
20Technologies for Smart Communities, DG CNECT, European Commission, Brussels, Belgium.

(May 2023)

We argue that theories and methods drawn from complexity science are urgently needed to guide the development and use of digital twins for cities. The theoretical framework from complexity science takes into account both the short-term and the long-term dynamics of cities and their interactions. This is the foundation for a new approach that treats cities not as large machines or logistic systems but as mutually interwoven self-organizing phenomena, which evolve, to an extent, like living systems.

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